Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 2353.233216 2544.066902 2735.661370 2942.132284 3158.034103 3376.829548 3615.012853
2026-01-11 2039.136874 2324.869236 2620.820423 2949.053103 3301.727234 3668.167315 4076.580387
2026-01-18 1830.981787 2175.881309 2541.745816 2956.268324 3410.459973 3890.719911 4434.680728
2026-01-25 1671.316388 2059.146890 2479.071688 2963.419872 3502.688459 4080.975566 4744.325661
2026-02-01 1520.152969 1938.004383 2399.182809 2939.868018 3550.564133 4213.599988 4982.579074
2026-02-08 1406.294998 1850.044904 2348.399656 2941.219177 3619.256123 4363.290556 5234.318681
2026-02-15 1293.354957 1755.359048 2283.148465 2919.827710 3656.742747 4473.482980 5437.926020
2026-02-22 1232.875827 1718.328857 2280.946213 2967.553710 3770.017567 4666.588403 5732.635779
2026-03-01 1160.263669 1662.086400 2252.294287 2981.023693 3840.976214 4809.399676 5968.652053
2026-03-08 1074.809012 1585.340397 2195.181269 2957.322779 3865.639110 4896.750767 6139.410586
2026-03-15 986.335240 1500.181126 2123.952979 2913.201447 3863.239142 4950.354104 6269.279475
2026-03-22 978.105593 1516.323994 2176.202300 3017.432060 4036.122252 5207.352918 6633.953194
2026-03-29 938.612634 1491.217912 2177.365726 3060.402293 4137.740197 5383.722358 6908.773709
2026-04-05 885.509170 1445.827226 2151.343357 3068.710903 4196.981399 5510.110693 7125.667136
2026-04-12 835.969061 1402.628119 2126.036919 3076.145849 4253.771939 5632.600323 7337.305700
2026-04-19 789.927956 1361.828391 2101.927306 3083.477674 4309.176172 5752.540834 7545.332628
2026-04-26 734.070253 1304.691951 2054.386431 3059.335648 4324.429297 5823.390700 7694.483206
2026-05-03 692.123642 1265.000066 2028.053315 3060.720717 4370.028105 5929.784733 7885.191993
2026-05-10 643.996826 1214.047167 1984.838955 3038.791715 4385.330793 5998.663869 8030.467976
2026-05-17 625.111096 1204.731553 1996.825003 3087.714964 4488.813321 6174.128175 8303.187444
2026-05-24 594.745791 1176.906380 1982.559589 3101.521528 4547.523604 6294.782218 8510.007131
2026-05-31 553.005330 1129.868445 1940.326144 3077.228001 4557.000632 6354.539919 8642.953736
2026-06-07 506.941983 1073.745546 1883.550948 3031.998641 4538.475137 6378.880124 8732.242311